Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 13.857975 15.852227 17.977849 20.406100 23.097042 25.981505 29.300860
2025-10-19 11.041200 13.731180 16.790838 20.505449 24.868760 29.806399 35.790172
2025-10-26 8.999395 11.956906 15.495718 19.995876 25.516039 32.014365 40.185902
2025-11-02 7.578664 10.665990 14.524785 19.627661 26.116121 34.004191 44.222136
2025-11-09 6.461275 9.588481 13.655528 19.225666 26.536277 35.676157 47.821409
2025-11-16 5.579502 8.702597 12.917133 18.877547 26.927425 37.245954 51.269330
2025-11-23 4.778334 7.827256 12.092529 18.313608 26.946593 38.274604 53.994787
2025-11-30 4.307232 7.369348 11.790967 18.415111 27.823949 40.417901 58.204882
2025-12-07 3.891073 6.944332 11.489560 18.474365 28.615012 42.442198 62.290942
2025-12-14 3.562254 6.616924 11.296356 18.659434 29.566682 44.692529 66.727524
2025-12-21 3.235006 6.255270 11.015850 18.683115 30.266326 46.594412 70.719980
2025-12-28 3.046260 6.102734 11.042200 19.159778 31.632052 49.460315 76.120580
2026-01-04 2.831455 5.887728 10.957301 19.464373 32.763285 52.045123 81.231743
2026-01-11 2.596617 5.612217 10.750375 19.557905 33.569530 54.176497 85.749847
2026-01-18 2.283642 5.157990 10.206203 19.067732 33.441143 54.914307 88.254299
2026-01-25 2.029225 4.784289 9.766723 18.713616 33.494091 55.903077 91.129860
2026-02-01 1.798342 4.428814 9.328177 18.327068 33.465017 56.749736 93.797852
2026-02-08 1.600152 4.115212 8.937571 17.992373 33.493145 57.668566 96.579716
2026-02-15 1.397107 3.765107 8.448662 17.450272 33.145288 57.979441 98.430878
2026-02-22 1.291752 3.615045 8.325644 17.547836 33.860721 59.964757 102.880561
2026-03-01 1.191229 3.463439 8.186642 17.604792 34.502988 61.844340 107.203650
2026-03-08 1.111996 3.351667 8.117078 17.782692 35.353892 64.074056 112.117078
2026-03-15 1.024150 3.207955 7.970726 17.805457 35.930536 65.869713 116.382706